I would like to respectfully disagree with the cost of Geo at 20-25K. Yes, it can easily cost that much when bid as a turnkey project. But, there are alternatives, and with the 30% (no cap) tax credit, the price can be much less, but it takes some initiative on the part of the homeowner, as they would need to act as their own general contractor and hire separate disciplines
I only put this out there, as this is a DIY forum. We all know that there are some tasks that a homeowner should not DIY, but DIY can, and in most cases should include professional help.
A complete 2.5 ton geothermal ground source heat pump with 12 KW backup, pump station, manifolds, and all piping,can be purchased for around $6,500.
3 horizontal loops can be dug for (avg) $5,000
The system can be installed (after the homeowner has had the trenching done, the geo pipe slinky looped in place and covered) and piping is ran inside and manifolds are complete for (avg) $3,500
$6,500 equipment
$5,000 Dirt Work
$3,500 Indoor installation
.............
$15,000 Total
$ 4,500 Tax Credit
.............
$10,500 Final Cost
Ok, I want to go back to the part where I respectfully disagree. I truly do respect all of the pros here. Their knowledge base is huge on the technical level. I do not offer this in disagreement with the original thought that $4,400 is not a great deal. It is, and on an older home without sufficient insulation, I think that the added expense of Geo would be hard to recoup in a reasonable time. I just wanted to show an option.
In the end, I would consider a dual fuel heat pump/gas furnace system to maximize the efficiency to cost input.
Good Luck
Jay